Tencap Ratings for ATP Players

The folks over at Tencap have provided us (and by “us”, I mean us tennis fans) with a really cool feature: Tencap ratings for all* your favorite players!

In an effort to display the validity and awesomeness of the Tencap Tennis Rating System, we have uploaded every match played in the main draws of some of the largest tournaments of the men’s and the women’s professional tennis tours. For the men, these tournaments included the Grand Slams, ATP Masters 1000, ATP 500 and ATP 250 tournaments. For the women, the results were from Grand Slams, Premier Tournaments, and International Tournaments. A total of 1,941 matches for the women, which included 40,843 games, were entered into the site among 264 Women. For the men, there were a total of 2,065 matches, which included 51,174 games played among 295 men. And the results have been awesome to see.

Top 20 Men

Rank Name Rating Statistics
1 Nadal, Rafael (ESP) -10 Statistics
2 Djokovic, Novak (SRB) -11 Statistics
3 Federer, Roger (SUI) -8 Statistics
4 Murray, Andy (GBR) -7 Statistics
5 Soderling, Robin (SWE) -5 Statistics
6 Ferrer, David (ESP) -8 Statistics
7 Berdych, Tomas (CZE) -5 Statistics
8 Melzer, Jurgen (AUT) -6 Statistics
9 Almagro, Nicolas (ESP) -4 Statistics
10 Monfils, Gael (FRA) -4 Statistics
11 Fish, Mardy (USA) -6 Statistics
12 Roddick, Andy (USA) -6 Statistics
13 Youzhny, Mikhail (RUS) -4 Statistics
14 Wawrinka, Stanislas (SUI) -3 Statistics
15 Troicki, Viktor (SRB) -6 Statistics
16 Gasquet, Richard (FRA) -5 Statistics
17 Verdasco, Fernando (ESP) -3 Statistics
18 Querrey, Sam (USA) -2 Statistics
19 Cilic, Marin (CRO) -4 Statistics
20 Simon, Gilles (FRA) -5 Statistics

* Note: Tencap has listed the top 20** women as well, but the stats haven’t been updated since Sept/October 2010, so they’re not going to be that helpful.  The men’s matches are current through April 2011, so they’re pretty accurate.

** Note: Also, it’s not *just* the top 20 players they’ve done this for, it’s pretty much all of the top 200 players, for both the men and the women.  If you look at that list, you won’t see Melanie Oudin, for example, but her stats are available.  Melanie is currently ranked #88, by the way.

How can you use this information?  Well remember, every 2 points difference in ratings is equal to 1 game difference in each set.  So if Rafa (-10) meets Federer (-8), you can see that Rafa has the edge to the tune of 1 game per set.  Again, it’s just a rule of thumb, and nobody needs it for Rafa, but it comes in pretty handy for players outside the top 20, and especially for players who are playing better than their current ranking (not rating, but ranking) would indicate.  Such as Djokovic.  At -11, Novak is – according to Tencap – the most dominant player in men’s tennis right now.

I think they’re right.  Djokovic is 39-0 for 2011, but his overall winning streak (dating back to December) is 41-0.  He’s beaten Rafa in four ATP masters 1000 series tournaments this year, including twice on clay.  The Joker’s in the groove!  Good thing too; next up: Del Potro.  Tencap predicts Djokovic (-11) over Del Potro (-7) should be 6-4, 6-4, 6-4 for Novak.

We shall see…

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